URBAN-RURAL RELATIONS, MIGRATION AND TERRITORIAL INEQUALITY: A MICRO-NUMERICAL ANALYSIS

Avzaljon Umarov

Deputy Head of the Department of Economics and Finance Namangan, Uzbekistan

Keywords: Urban–rural relations, Migration, Territorial inequality, Micro numerical analysis, Microdata, Spatial econometrics, Multilevel modeling, Counterfactuals, Policy simulation, Regional development

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Abstract

This article develops a micro-numerical framework to study urban
rural relations, migration decisions, and territorial inequality. Drawing on micro-level
data and modern estimation techniques, we show how individual and household
characteristics interact with local endowments—such as job opportunities, amenities,
infrastructure, and public services—to shape migration flows and spatial inequality. We
discuss data sources, measurement strategies, and econometric specifications
(including logit/probit models for migration decisions, multilevel and spatial models,
and micro-simulation approaches). We illustrate the approach with stylized results and
policy counterfactuals, emphasizing how micro-numerical work can inform urban
planning, rural development, and regional policy aimed at reducing territorial
disparities while sustaining dynamic urban–rural linkages.

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